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This paper quantitatively accounts for the cyclical dynamics of key macroeconomic housing and mortgage market variables using a tractable, searchtheoretic model of housing with equilibrium mortgage default. To explain these dynamics, the model highlights the importance of liquidity spirals that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011798986
We document that the recent house price experiences within an individual's social network affect her perceptions of the attractiveness of property investments, and through this channel have large effects on her housing market activity. Our data combine anonymized social network information from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012988967
of housing adjustment. In the time-series dimension, the model accounts for the pro-cyclicality and volatility of housing … following question: what are the consequences for aggregate volatility of an increase in household income and a decrease in down … can explain: (1) 45 percent of the reduction in the volatility of household investment; (2) the decline in the correlation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013038658
time-series, the model matches the procyclicality and volatility of housing investment, and the procyclicality of mortgage … and lower downpayments, and find that these two changes can explain, in the model and in the data, the reduced volatility … of housing investment, the reduced procyclicality of mortgage debt, and a small fraction of the reduced volatility of GDP …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013113410
This paper quantitatively accounts for the cyclical dynamics of key macroeconomic housing and mortgage market variables using a tractable, search-theoretic model of housing with equilibrium mortgage default. To explain these dynamics, the model highlights the importance of liquidity spirals...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013028614
We empirically document deviations of residential real estate prices from fundamental values at the micro level and investigate their relationship with local bank lending growth during a period of unconventional monetary policy. Our findings indicate a positive relationship between credit growth...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015397364
From 2014 until present, housing prices in Germany have been rising faster than consumer prices in all quarters except one, raising concerns about an excessive over-heating of the housing market. To assess the vulnerability of the German housing market to a future realignment of prices or even a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012098990
business cycle. Second, a shock that moves the land price is capable of generating large volatility in unemployment. Our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010126854
monetary policy in the HANK model to reduce the dis- crepancy between consumption volatility in the model and in the data. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014308595
fluctuations by buying their home prior to the realization of the population shock; newcomers cannot. As a result, poorer natives …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010370524