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The paper examines the volatility predictive ability of the CBOE crude oil volatility index (OVX), GARCH and Stochastic Volatility Models in the crude oil market. Specifically, the dynamics of two major crude oil pricing benchmarks - Brent in Europe and WTI in America are compared. OVX index is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014574074
This online appendix to "Violations of Uncovered Interest Rate Parity and International Exchange Rate Dependences" includes the copula density function for the Clayton-Frank-Gumbel mixture copula and the details for the likelihood based estimation of the multivariate currency basket log returns....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013004092
Testing for constant expected returns and forecasting future returns necessitate the information beyond a single predictor. We consider the predictive regression model with multiple predictors which are potentially strongly persistent and cointegrated. Instrumental variables based tests for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012919518
I propose a new measure of price discovery, which I will refer to as the Independent Component based Information Share (IC-IS). This measure constitutes a variant of the widespread Information Share, with the main difference being it does not suffer the same identification issues. Under the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013489765
The main theme of the paper is to analyze whether the size has any effect on return-volume relationship. It also examines the casual relationship between returns and trading volume. The study also examines the duration of impact of stock returns on trading volume and the trading volume on stock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013102207
We formulate a price discovery model in which the price discovery measures vary either locally, say, for instance, at intervals of 30 minutes or at a daily frequency. Given the empirical and theoretical evidence that price discovery measures relate to highly persistent fundamentals, we adopt a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014353587
Today we live in a post-truth and highly digitalized era characterized by a flow of (mis-) information around the world. Identifying the impact of this information on stock markets and forecasting stock returns and volatilities has become a much more difficult task, perhaps almost impossible....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012039605
The uncovered interest rate parity puzzle questions the economic relation existing between short term interest rate differentials and exchange rates. One would indeed expect that the differential of interest rates between two countries should be offset by an opposite evolution of the exchange...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013018402
The possibility to measure the relative contribution of agents and exchanges to the price formation process in high-frequency financial markets acquired increasingly importance in the financial econometric literature. In this paper I propose to adopt fully data-driven approaches to identify...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012308903
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013542852