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Aslanidis, Nektarios; Christiansen, Charlotte; Savva, … - In: Journal of risk and financial management : JRFM 14 (2021) 6, pp. 1-14

We investigate the risk-return trade-off on the US and European stock markets. We investigate the non-linear risk-return trade-off with a special eye to the tails of the stock returns using quantile regressions. We first consider the US stock market portfolio. We find that the risk-return...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012587977

Dissecting characteristics nonparametrically

Freyberger, Joachim; Neuhierl, Andreas; Weber, Michael - 2018 - This version: July 2018

We propose a nonparametric method to study which characteristics provide incremental information for the cross section of expected returns. We use the adaptive group LASSO to select characteristics and to estimate how they affect expected returns nonparametrically. Our method can handle a large...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011888693

Consumption Fluctuations and Expected Returns

Atanasov, Victoria - 2019

This paper introduces a novel consumption-based variable, cyclical consumption, and examines its predictive properties for stock returns. Future expected stock returns are high (low) when aggregate consumption falls (rises) relative to its trend and marginal utility from current consumption is...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012900308

Impact of public news sentiment on stock market index return and volatility

Anese, Gianluca; Corazza, Marco; Costola, Michele; … - 2021

Recent advances in natural language processing have contributed to the development of market sentiment measures through text content analysis in news providers and social media. The effectiveness of these sentiment variables depends on the implemented techniques and the type of source on which...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012629835

Return and volatility spillovers across equity markets in mainland China, Hong Kong and the United States

Mohammadi, Hassan; Tan, Yuting - In: Econometrics : open access journal 3 (2015) 2, pp. 215-232

Examinations of the dynamics of daily returns and volatility in stock markets of the US, Hong Kong and mainland China …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011296721

Hurst Dynamics of S&P500 Returns : Implications and Impact on Market Efficiency, Long Memory, Multifractality and Financial Crises Predictability

Vogl, Markus; Roetzel, Peter Gordon - 2021

In this study, we apply a rolling window approach to wavelet-filtered (denoised) S&P500 returns (2000–2020) to obtain time varying Hurst exponents. We analyse the dynamics of the Hurst exponents by applying statistical tests (e.g., for stationarity, Gaussianity and self-similarity), a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013229642

Comfort: a common market factor non-Gaussian returns model

Paolella, Marc S.; Polak, Pawel - 2013

model in several ways, it allows for all the primary stylized facts of financial asset returns, including volatility … volatility, but without the estimation problems associated with the latter, and being applicable in the multivariate setting for …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010256409

A latent dynamic factor approach to forecasting multivariate stock market volatility : conference paper

Gribisch, Bastian - 2013

This paper proposes a latent dynamic factor model for low- as well as high-dimensional realized covariance matrices of stock returns. The approach is based on the matrix logarithm and allows for flexible dynamic dependence patterns by combining common latent factors driven by HAR dynamics and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010341025

Spatial Modeling of Stock Market Comovements

Fernández-Avilés, Gema - 2014

allows us to go beyond conventional correlation analyses and volatility-spillover models confined to studying pairwise …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013055629

International Stock Return Predictability : The Role of U.S. Volatility Risk

Deng, Yizhe; Jiang, Fuwei; Wang, Yunqi; Zhou, Ti - 2022

This paper studies the intertemporal relation between U.S. volatility risk and international equity risk premia. We … show that a common volatility risk factor constructed from the option-implied U.S. forward variances positively and … robust to the inclusion of existing domestic and U.S. predictors and alternative U.S. volatility risk proxies. The …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014236052