We analyze financial market data in order to produce an ex-ante assessment of the economic consequences of war with Iraq. The novel feature of our analysis derives from the existence of a market for Saddam Securities,' a new future traded on an online betting exchange that pays only if Saddam...

Typical measures of racial progress focus on objectively measurable changes in economic conditions - employment opportunities, income, education. These indicators tell a story of ongoing, albeit frustratingly slow, progress. In this paper, we focus instead on measures of subjective wellbeing....