Background: This paper examines the role of monetary and fiscal factors in interest rate variations in Sri Lanka under its deregulated regime of interest rates. In addition the paper also examines the role of monetary factors in the variation of interest rates, using a quarterly dataset for the...

Objective of this paper is to search for a univariate forecasting model that can provide the most accurate forecasts of monthly exchange rates of Indian rupee over the period 1994m8 to 2014m4. Random walk model is used as the benchmark model. Using Box-Jenkins methodology, ARIMA structures of...

This paper examines how unanticipated monetary shocks cause variations in exchange rate in Sri Lanka under the independent float regime. The study addresses this issue under both the rational and adaptive expectations framework. GARCH (generalised autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity)...

This paper examines the role of monetary factors in the variation of nominal interest rates in India for the deregulated regime of interest rates and the exchange rates. Empirical analysis involves quarterly time series dataset including interest rates on 91-day, 364-day treasury bills (TBs),...