We develop a flexible semiparametric time series estimator that is then used to assess the causal effect of monetary policy interventions on macroeconomic aggregates. Our estimator captures the average causal response to discrete policy interventions in a macro-dynamic setting, without the need...

We develop a flexible semiparametric time series estimator that is then used to assess the causal effect of monetary policy interventions on macroeconomic aggregates. Our estimator captures the average causal response to discrete policy interventions in a macro-dynamic setting, without the need...

Bias correction can often improve the finite sample performance of estimators. We show that the choice of bias correction method has no effect on the higherorder variance of semiparametrically efficient parametric estimators, so long as the estimate of the bias is asymptotically linear. It is...