Labor productivity, measured as the industry-standardized ratio of sales to number of employees, has an ability to predict average stock returns. In the portfolio sort, firms with high labor productivity earn higher expected returns than those with low productivity. The difference in returns is...

We re-visit a puzzling result that in U.S. post-WW II data the dividend price ratio can predict aggregate returns but not dividend growth. We find that predictive regressions are sensitive to the method used to aggregate firm-level data. Using value weighted firm-level data we find strong...

In this paper we study the predictability of aggregate consumption growth using common factors extracted from a large panel of macroeconomic and financial time series. The stochastic process followed by consumption growth and its predictability by other variables is a key assumption in...