The predictability of the market return and dividend growth is addressed in an equilibrium model with two regimes. A state variable that drives the conditional means of the aggregate consumption and dividend growth rates follows different time-series processes in the two regimes. In linear...

The predictability of the market return and dividend growth is addressed in an equilibrium model with two regimes. A state variable that drives the conditional means of the aggregate consumption and dividend growth rates follows different time-series processes in the two regimes. In linear...

The puzzle that the market-wide price-dividend ratio predicts neither the market return nor dividend growth in linear regressions is addressed in an equilibrium model with two regimes where the process of the conditional mean of dividend growth is more predictable in one regime than in the...

The predictability of the market return and dividend and consumption growth is addressed in an equilibrium model with two regimes. A state variable that drives the conditional means of the aggregate consumption and dividend growth rates follows different time-series processes in the two regimes....