Showing 1 - 10 of 8,324
The prevailing view of implied volatility comovements, IVC, defined as the correlation between a firm's implied volatility and the market's implied volatility, is that they indicate the presence of systematic volatility risk to the firm's investors. We take a different stance and conjecture that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012900702
This paper studies the implications of disclosure repetitiveness on firm performance, information processing costs, and future stock returns. I propose a compression-based method to measure disclosure repetitiveness, which is assumption-free with respect to the underlying language models. I then...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013313217
Using a popular return decomposition, we show that expected returns should on average be positively associated with future return on equity (ROE), controlling for the book-to-market ratio (BM). However, we find that none of the commonly-used implied cost of equity capital estimates (ICCs), which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012973659
We investigate the cross-sectional pattern of stock returns for eight emerging markets using Vector Autoregressive Approach (VAR) to test whether dividend yields can predict stock returns through impulse response characteristics. Our results confirm that dividend yield shocks play an important...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014205825
Prior research finds expected returns decrease in firm-level total asset growth. This study shows that external growth, measured as asset growth raised from capital markets, has stronger power than total asset growth predicting the cross section of average returns. External growth subsumes the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012970654
I examine intraday stock returns in the Istanbul Stock Exchange (ISE) around non-trading periods – weekends and holidays – by utilizing the exchange's structure of two trading sessions. I find that returns are generally more positive in the last session on Fridays and more negative in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013021648
Hundreds of papers and hundreds of factors attempt to explain the cross-section of expected returns. Given this extensive data mining, it does not make any economic or statistical sense to use the usual significance criteria for a newly discovered factor, e.g., a t-ratio greater than 2.0....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013035730
There is a generalized conviction that variation in dividend yields is exclusively related to expected returns and not to expected dividend growth - e.g. Cochrane's presidential address (Cochrane (2011)). We show that this pattern, although valid for the aggregate stock market, is not true for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013036406
The term structure of equity returns is downward-sloping: stocks with high cash flow duration earn 1.10% per month lower returns than short-duration stocks in the cross section. I create a measure of cash flow duration at the firm level using balance sheet data to show this novel fact. Factor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012981605
We extend Merton’s 1976 asset return analysis which relied on intraday trade data to estimate volatility by introducing drift estimation and equity premium dynamics leading to predictability of short run daily returns under appropriate conditions. We find empirical support for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013220276