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measures, resulting from the new model, can be used to implemennt joint risk scenario analysis. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014314068
incorporates stochastic volatility, long-run risks in consumption and dividends, and Epstein-Zin preferences. Utilizing Bayesian …-term real risk-free interest rate, real consumption growth, and real dividend growth. Our results indicate that, over short and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013094186
We investigate high-frequency volatility models for analyzing intra-day tick by tick stock price changes using Bayesian … estimation procedures. Our key interest is the extraction of intra-day volatility patterns from high-frequency integer price … distributions. We allow for stochastic volatility by modeling the variance as a stochastic function of time, with intra-day periodic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011456723
This work deals with multivariate stochastic volatility models, which account for a time-varying variance … the volatility level. We apply a full Bayesian inference approach, which relies upon Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014220749
-time version of the stochastic volatility (SV) model. The Bayesian approach represents a feasible way to estimate SV models. Under …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013116422
In this paper, we review the most common specifications of discrete-time stochastic volatility (SV) models and … indices and foreign exchange rates. -- Stochastic volatility ; Markov chain Monte Carlo ; Metropolis-Hastings algorithm Jump …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003770817
simulation evidence for stochastic volatility and stochastic intensity models. For our empirical study, we analyse the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010399681
We develop a new model where the dynamic structure of the asset price, after the fundamental value is removed, is subject to two different regimes. One regime reflects the normal period where the asset price divided by the dividend is assumed to follow a mean-reverting process around a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011781855
Empirical volatility studies have discovered nonstationary, long-memory dynamics in the volatility of the stock market … found with nonparametric estimates of the fractional differencing parameter d, for financial volatility. In this paper, a …, stochastic volatility (SV-FIAR) model. Joint estimates of the autoregressive and fractional differencing parameters of volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011382237
A novel spatial autoregressive model for panel data is introduced, which incorporates multilayer networks and accounts for time-varying relationships. Moreover, the proposed approach allows the structural variance to evolve smoothly over time and enables the analysis of shock propagation in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014416011