The article presents the application of a linear regression model to the problem of space-time disaggregation of the GDP of the Polish economy. In the approach described, the structural parameters of linear regression are subject to estimation, where the annual GDP of voivodships (regions of...

We discuss the empirical importance of long term cyclical effects in the volatility of financial returns. Following Cizek and Spokoiny (2009), Amado and Teräsvirta (2012) and others, we consider a general conditionally heteroscedastic process with stationarity property distorted by a...

We propose a non-standard sub-sampling procedure to make formal statistical inference about the business cycle, one of the most important unobserved feature characterizing fluctuations of economic growth. We show that some characteristics of business cycle can be modeled in a non-parametric way...

In this paper, we ask about the capacity of macroprudential policies to reduce the procyclical impact of capital ratio on bank lending. We focus on aggregated macroprudential policy measures and on individual instruments and test whether their effect on the association between lending and...