During the COVID-19 pandemic, governments globally had to impose severe contact restriction measures and social mobility limitations in order to limit the exposure of the population to COVID-19. These public health policy decisions were informed by statistical models for infection rates in...

Full paper available at: "https://ssrn.com/abstract=2840730" https://ssrn.com/abstract=2840730This supplementary material to "Which Risk Factors Drive Oil Futures Price Curves?" includes the derivation of the futures price expression, details of the Kalman Filter utilised, and the equation for...

Supplementary material available at: "https://ssrn.com/abstract=3312707" https://ssrn.com/abstract=3312707We develop extensions that introduce regression structure to the multi-factor stochastic models of commodity futures price term structure dynamics. We demonstrate the accuracy with which...

This online appendix to "Violations of Uncovered Interest Rate Parity and International Exchange Rate Dependences" includes the copula density function for the Clayton-Frank-Gumbel mixture copula and the details for the likelihood based estimation of the multivariate currency basket log returns....

We present a large-scale study of commonality in liquidity and resilience across assets in an ultra high-frequency (millisecond-time stamped) Limit Order Book (LOB) dataset from a pan-European electronic equity trading facility. We first show that extant work in quantifying liquidity...

A novel class of dimension reduction methods is combined with a stochastic multi-factor panel regression-based state-space model in order to model the dynamics of yield curves whilst incorporating regression factors. This is achieved via Probabilistic Principal Component Analysis (PPCA) in which...

The uncovered interest rate parity puzzle questions the economic relation existing between short term interest rate differentials and exchange rates. One would indeed expect that the differential of interest rates between two countries should be offset by an opposite evolution of the exchange...