Showing 1 - 10 of 17,826
Output gap estimates at the current edge are subject to severe revisions. This study analyzes whether monetary aggregates can be used to improve the reliability of early output gap estimates as proposed by several theoretical models. A real-time experiment shows that real M1 can improve output...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010248220
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013261121
Inflation is a monetary phenomenon. While this statement is widely accepted in terms of a long-run relationship, the … quantity theory has been made operational also for the short-run dynamics of inflation by so-called Pstar models. An error … inflation. The response of the HICP is strongly positive. Other factors such as raw material prices and unit labor costs also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011477146
inflation channels, that is, liquidity fuels housing market developments. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010206407
In a recent paper, Atkeson and Kehoe (2004) demonstrated the lack of a robust empirical relationship between inflation … relationship by allowing for inflation and growth to have a nonlinear specification dependent on inflation levels. In particular …, we allow for the possibility that high inflation is negatively correlated with growth, while a positive relationship …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012729476
The relationship between inflation and real GDP growth is one of the most widely researched topics in macroeconomics …, given the fact that low inflation in combination with high and sustained output growth should be the central objective of … banks all over the world have selected target levels for inflation and communicated them to the public. Against this …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014305101
Examining the economies of the European Union from 2000 to 2023, we have found no strong evidence that the inflation … the euro area, aimed at rapidly bringing inflation under control, could actually be detrimental to economic growth. Since … the negative effects of monetary tightening on growth are clear, while the benefits of rapidly reducing inflation on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015210370
In this paper we present an empirically stable euro area money demand model. Using a sample period until 2009:2 shows that the current financial and economic crisis that started in 2007 does not appear to have any noticeable impact on the stability of the euro area money demand function. We also...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010208785
In this paper we examine why monetary aggregates of euro area Member States have developed differently since the inception of the euro. We derive a money demand equation that incorporates housing wealth and collateral as well as substitution effects on real money holdings. Empirically, we show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010208778
Expectations are at the centre of modern macroeconomic theory and policymakers. In this paper, we examine the predictive ability and the consistency properties of macroeconomic expectations using data of the European Central Bank (ECB) Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF)
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012961331