There is a generalized conviction that variation in dividend yields is exclusively related to expected returns and not to expected dividend growth - e.g. Cochrane's presidential address (Cochrane (2011)). We show that this pattern, although valid for the aggregate stock market, is not true for...

We find strong international evidence favoring dividend payout as a salient stock characteristic affecting expected stock returns. We find that dividend-paying stocks outperform non-payers by 0.54% per month in 44 countries, adjusting for exposures to global and regional risk factors. The...

I examine intraday stock returns in the Istanbul Stock Exchange (ISE) around non-trading periods – weekends and holidays – by utilizing the exchange's structure of two trading sessions. I find that returns are generally more positive in the last session on Fridays and more negative in the...

We extend Merton’s 1976 asset return analysis which relied on intraday trade data to estimate volatility by introducing drift estimation and equity premium dynamics leading to predictability of short run daily returns under appropriate conditions. We find empirical support for the...

This paper introduces a real-time, continuous measure of national sentiment that is language-free and thus comparable globally: the positivity of songs that individuals choose to listen to. This is a direct measure of mood that does not pre-specify certain mood-affecting events nor assume the...

This paper finds evidence that stock returns vary with the physical climate change exposure of firms in a predictable manner. We construct measures of exposures to physical climate changes at the firm level, and find that firms with high climate change exposures experience lower future...

In the present study, I explore interday correlations between open-to-close and opening stock returns. Employing intraday price data on all the stocks that were S&P 500 Index constituents during the period from 1993 to 2013, I find that stock returns in opening trading sessions systematically...

The prevailing view of implied volatility comovements, IVC, defined as the correlation between a firm's implied volatility and the market's implied volatility, is that they indicate the presence of systematic volatility risk to the firm's investors. We take a different stance and conjecture that...

This study speaks to investment academics and practitioners by describing and analyzing the population of return predictive signals (RPS) publicly identified during the period 1970-2010. Our supraview brings to light a number of new facts about the population of RPS, including that more than 330...

We develop a four-factor model intended to capture size, value, and credit rating transition patterns in excess returns for a panel of predominantly mid- and large-cap entities. Using credit transition matrices and rating histories from 48 US issuers, we provide evidence to support a...