Daily returns of financial assets are frequently found to exhibit positive autocorrelation at lag 1. When specifying a linear AR(l) conditional mean, one may ask how this predictability affects option prices. We investigate the dependence of option prices on autoregressive dynamics under...

In this paper, we develop a new nonparametric approach for estimating the risk-neutral density of asset price and reformulate its estimation into a double-constrained optimization problem. We implement our approach in R and evaluate it using the S&P 500 market option prices from 1996 to 2015. A...

We consider several time series and for each of them, we fit an appropriate dynamic parametric model. This produces serially independent error terms for each time series. The dependence between these error terms is then modeled by a regime-switching copula. The EM algorithm is used for...

The goal of this article is an exact Bayesian analysis of the Heston (1993) stochastic volatility model. We carefully study the effect different parameterizations of the latent volatility process and the parameters of the volatility process have on the convergence and the mixing behavior of the...

We propose a general, accurate and fast econometric approach for the estimation of affine option pricing models. The algorithm belongs to the class of Laplace-Type Estimation (LTE) techniques and exploits Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods. We employ functions of the risk-neutral cumulants...

Market option prices in last 20 years confirmed deviations from the Black and Scholes (BS) models assumptions, especially on the BS implied volatility. Implied binomial trees (IBT) models capture the variations of the implied volatility known as "volatility smile". They provide a discrete...

This paper develops a semiparametric estimation method that jointly identifies the probability weighting and utility functions implicit in option prices. Our econometric method avoids direct specification of the objective conditional return distributions, which are instead obtained by...

Observing prices of European put and call options, we calibrate exponential Lévy models nonparametrically. We discuss the implementation of the spectral estimation procedures for Lévy models of finite jump activity as well as for self-decomposable Lévy models and improve these methods....

Market analysts and central banks often use the implied volatility of FX options as an indicator of expected exchange rate uncertainty. The aim of our study is to investigate the limits of this statistic. We present some key factors that may deviate the value of implied volatility from the...