We identify structural vector autoregressions using narrative sign restrictions. Narrative sign restrictions constrain the structural shocks and the historical decomposition around key historical events, ensuring that they agree with the established narrative account of these episodes. Using...

Determining the exchange rate pass-through on inflation is a necessity for central banks as well as for firms and households. This is an apparently easy and intuitive task, but it faces high complexity and uncertainty. This paper examines the short and long-term impact of an exchange rate shock...

This study proposed a new analytical approach to identify the excessive comovement of two markets as contagion. This goal is achieved by linking latent-factor and single-equation error correction models and evaluating the breaks in the short- and long-term relationships and correlatedness in the...