We test the predictive accuracy of forecasts of the number of COVID-19 fatalities produced by several forecasting teams and collected by the United States Centers for Disease Control and Prevention during the first and second waves of the epidemic in the United States. We find three main...

This paper proposes a method to identify how labour market institutions and product market regulation interact with economic shocks, and affect unemployment and wage dynamics during periods of external imbalances corrections. This is done using a general equilibrium model of trade, external...