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The prediction of volatility is of primary importance for business applications in risk management, asset allocation and pricing of derivative instruments. This paper proposes a novel measurement model which takes into consideration the possibly time-varying interaction of realized volatility...
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We propose a new spatio--temporal model with time--varying spatial weighting matrices. The filtering procedure of the time--varying unknown parameters is performed using the information contained in the score of the conditional distribution of the observables. We provide conditions for the...
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We propose a new class of models specifi cally tailored for spatio-temporal data analysis. To this end, we generalize the spatial autoregressive model with autoregressive and heteroskedastic disturbances, i.e. SARAR(1,1), by exploiting the recent advancements in Score Driven (SD) models...
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