Self-reported home values are widely used as a measure of housing wealth by researchers; the accuracy of this measure, however, is an open empirical question, and requires some type of market assessment of the values reported. In this study, the authors examine the predictive power of...

We use a time-varying parameter dynamic factor model with stochastic volatility (DFM-TV-SV) estimated using Bayesian methods to disentangle the relative importance of the common component in FHFA house price movements from state-specific shocks, over the quarterly period of 1975Q2 to 2017Q4. We...

In this paper, we implement a new measure, the rental equivalence approach, in estimating the cost of Irish housing for the purposes of the consumer price index (CPI). The cost of housing composes both the cost of owner occupier housing (OOH) as well as the cost of renting. This work, which is...

The gap between market rent and the price of shelter was 6.6 percent larger in December 2023 relative to December 2019. Because shelter prices comprise 36 percent of the Consumer Price Index and therefore influence monetary policy decisions, it is vital to understand the pass-through of this...

This paper estimates a spatio-temporal model of house price changes in England, allowing for heterogeneity in spatial effects between districts and the separation of the spatial dimension from the impact of common factors. We model house price growth from January 1995 to August 2016 across 325...

We model a home seller's pricing decision under a generally defined prospect value function. We show a simple disposition effect is caused by reference dependence, but it only exists when the agent is risk neutral. Diminishing sensitivity will lead to a two-way disposition effect by generating a...

The house price-to-income ratio (PIR) is widely used as an affordability indicator. This paper complements the cross-sectionally focused literature by proposing a tractable model for the PIR dynamics. Our model predicts that the PIR is very persistent and is correlated to the lagged aggregate...

Historical anecdotes of new investors being drawn into a booming asset market, only to suffer when the market turns, abound. While the role of investor contagion in asset bubbles has been explored extensively in the theoretical literature, causal empirical evidence on the topic is virtually...

This paper investigates if the imbalances in the Baltic residential real estate markets that were mounting up prior the crisis of 2008-2009 could have been detected in real time. It develops an empirical framework comprised of various empirical techniques for assessing housing price...