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We estimate the average fiscal multiplier, allowing multipliers to be heterogeneous across countries or over time and … conventional multiplier estimates. We rely on both crosssectional and time-series variation in spending shocks, exploiting the … differential effects of oil price shocks on fuel subsidies, to identify the average government spending multiplier. Our estimates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012950437
This paper examines issues related to the estimation of the government spending multiplier (GSM) in a Dynamic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013106526
This paper provides evidence that austerity shocks have long-run negative effects on GDP. Besides addressing the important gap in the growing fiscal research regarding the short time horizon of the estimations, this paper analyzes two other important assumptions made in the literature regarding...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014229776
We generalize a simple New Keynesian model and show that a flattening of the Phillips curve reduces the size of fiscal multipliers at the zero lower bound (ZLB) on the nominal interest rate. The factors behind the flatting are consistent with micro- and macroeconomic empirical evidence: it is a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012111527
spending multipliers. We show that the multiplier values are statistically larger during recessions than during expansions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012900667
tend to have positive effects on output in Italy. The fiscal multiplier, which is maximized at the one year horizon …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012924294
This paper empirically studies the U.S. multiplier effects of government investment, government consumption and total … with a shadow interest rate. The government spending multiplier is approximately 0.5 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014358599
estimated stimulus is extremely small with GDP and employment effects only onesixth as large. -- Fiscal multiplier ; New …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003963764
multiplier far below one. However, the stimulus ́multiplier strongly depends on the assumed monetary policy response. Based on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010258714
In 2009, Germany invested 15.4 Billion Euro in infrastructure to avert the looming recession. In this study, we evaluate whether the German stimulus program was successful in limiting the impact of the crisis on the job market. We exploit exogenous cross-sectional variation to identify the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010341046