Recent research, due to Patatoukas and Thomas (2011) and Ball et al. (2013), focuses on Basu's (1997) conditional conservatism measure and the existence of a denominator effect — whether the difference between the earnings-return coefficients of bad and good news firms (“the Basu...

OLS-based archival accounting research encounters two well-known problems. First, outliers tend to influence results excessively. Second, heteroscedastic error terms raise the spectre of inefficient estimation and the need to scale variables. This paper applies a robust estimation approach due...

This paper evaluates the hypothesis that the difference between reported earnings and permanent earnings approximates zero, on average. We measure a firm's permanent earnings using its stock price, and the short term interest rate determines the permanent earnings to price relation. The...

A two-factor model explains returns for a variety of test portfolios, including those based of CAPM beta and those underlying factors in extant pricing models. The two-factor model involves the market factor and a factor based on firms’ fundamentals that has the feature of providing a hedge in...

Under accounting principles, the recognition of earnings is path dependent and the path depends on risk resolution: Under the so-called realization principle, earnings are not booked until uncertainty is resolved. In asset pricing terms, the principle means that earnings cannot be recognized...

This paper documents that the earnings yield and book-to-price combine to predict equity returns in a way that is consistent with the rational pricing of risk. It is well known that earnings yields predict returns in the cross-section, consistent with standard formulas that show that the...

Historical cost accounting deals with uncertainty by deferring the recognition of earnings until the uncertainty has largely been resolved. Such accounting affects both earnings and book value, and produces expected earnings growth deemed to be at risk. This paper shows that the...