We present a general equilibrium model to understand the implications of short-term debt playing a special role in an economy in providing liquidity and facilitating transactions. In our model the supplies of short-term public and private debt are an endogenous outcome of optimal actions by the...

We introduce a new, market-based and forward looking measure of political risk derived from the yield spread between a country's U.S. dollar debt and an equivalent U.S. Treasury bond. We explain the variation in these sovereign spreads with four factors: global economic conditions,...

We introduce a new, market-based and forward looking measure of political risk derived from the yield spread between a country's U.S. dollar debt and an equivalent U.S. Treasury bond. We explain the variation in these sovereign spreads with four factors: global economic conditions,...

This paper defines risk-on risk-off (RORO), an elusive terminology in pervasive use, as the variation in global investor risk taking behavior. Our high-frequency RORO index captures time-varying investor risk appetite across multiple dimensions: advanced economy credit risk, equity market...