We develop a Bayesian framework for estimating high quantiles of the relative return loss distribution of equity portfolios. This framework allows for the incorporation of both quantitative data via a parametric model for the loss distribution as well as qualitative information, specified...

The classical practice in exchange rate model estimation is to use bilateral differentials of macro fundamentals. Empirically, capitals may not place equal importance on the economic fundamentals among all countries. Therefore, allowing each country’s variable to enter the model independently...