Ma, Yueran; Ropele, Tiziano; Sraer, David Alexandre; … - 2022
allows us to observe a long panel of managerial forecast errors for a sample of firms representative of the Italian economy …. We show that managerial forecast errors are positively and significantly autocorrelated. This persistence in forecast … forecasting bias, we estimate a dynamic equilibrium model with heterogeneous firms and distorted expectations. The estimated model …