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The paper analyzes the convergence of inflation rates in the group of more developed members of the Eurozone (core … countries). What are the characteristics and is the inflation process in these countries sufficiently homogeneous? Are the … analysed inflation rates converging, so that there is an indication that these countries tend to form the optimal currency area …
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Inflation expectation is acknowledged to be an important indicator for policy makers and financial investors. To … capture a more accurate real-time estimate of inflation expectation on the basis of financial markets, we propose an arbitrage …-free model across different countries in a multi-maturity term structure, where we first estimate inflation expectation by …
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This paper seeks to document and explain the effect of a commodity price shock on underlying core inflation, and how … across many countries there was a break in the response of core inflation to a commodity price shock. In an earlier period, a … shock to commodity prices would lead to a large and significant increase in core inflation, but in later periods, the effect …
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