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macroeconomic and financial indicators such as industrial production, inflation, stock market index, foreign exchange rates and … inflation, supporting the evidence of the short-run impact of confidence indexes on these variables. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012257381
Expectations affect economic decisions, and therefore inaccurate expectations are costly. Expectations can be wrong in ways that are systematic (bias) or unsystematic (noise). We provide a general method for quantifying the noise component. The method is based on the insight that theoretical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012861624
We discuss the timing and strength of the Fed's reaction to the recent inflation surge within an estimated … macroeconomic model where long-run inflation expectations are heterogeneous and can lose their anchoring to the target. The … resulting inflation scare worsens the real cost of disinflation. We derive a closed-form solution that retains the entire time …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015191492
Volatility is widely considered to be a category of technical indicators with a simple interpretation - no matter how it is measured volatility is widely believed to rise in a market downturn. This approach is applied to indicators such as the Average True Range (ATR), Bollinger Bands®...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013026428
The objective of this paper is to examine the impact of demutualization upon the performance of stock exchanges' in terms of their liquidity as per the share turnover velocity and the returns that are generated from the broad indexes. The impact of demutualization has been examined upon a global...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013028827
ARCH modelling framework of Engle (1982) and its GARCH generalization of Bollerslev (1986) gave a huge impetus to econometric model building in the field of financial time series with time-varying variance. The main idea of the models was to describe the most typical features of capital markets...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003942099
The influence of the moon on human behavior have been featured in many, not only scientific publications. This paper tests the hypothesis that the one-session rates of return of index WIG (Warsaw Stock Exchange) in the period of 16.04.1991-31.03.2015, calculated for each of the following phases:...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013018509
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