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An empirical approach to financial crisis indicators based on random matrices

Douady, Raphaël; Kornprobst, Antoine - In: International journal of theoretical and applied finance 21 (2018) 3, pp. 1-19

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011889477

Origins of Presidential poll aggregation : a perspective from 2004 to 2012

Wang, Samuel S.-H. - In: International journal of forecasting 31 (2015) 3, pp. 898-909

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011474634

Electoral externalities in federations : evidence from German opinion polls

Frei, Xenia; Langer, Sebastian; Lehmann, Robert; … - 2017 - This version: February 20, 2017

Party performance in state and federal elections is highly interdependent. Federal elections impact regional voting dynamics and vice versa (electoral externalities). We quantify the extent of simultaneous electoral externalities between two layers of government. We apply vector autoregressions...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011615805

Are stock returns and output growth higher under democrats?

Fair, Ray C. - 2021

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012436418

Sampling with probabilities proportional to the variable of interest

Moors, J.J.A.; Smeets, R.; Boekema, F.W.M. - Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management - 1996

fair grounds. The longer a visitor's sojourn, the larger his/her probability of being interviewed will be; therefore …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011087025

Probability Judgements in Multi-Stage Problems : Experimental Evidence of Systematic Biases

Gneezy, U. - Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research - 1996

to under-estimate the probability of success in the long run.In particular, individuals who were given the stage by stage … probability distribution failed to aggregate this information in a multi-stage case.Estimations of the long run probability … distribution did not differ much from the given stage-by-stage probability distribution, and were systematically lower than the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011090383

Measuring performance improvement of Taiwanese commercial banks under uncertainty

Kao, Chiang; Liu, Shiang-tai - In: European journal of operational research : EJOR 235 (2014) 3, pp. 755-764

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010360788

An ordered probit approach to predicting the probability of inflation/deflation

Silvia, John E.; Iqbal, Azhar - In: Business economics : the journal of the National … 50 (2015) 1, pp. 12-19

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011342124

The promise of pick-the-winners contests for producing crowd probability forecasts

Pfeifer, Phillip E. - In: Theory and decision : an international journal for … 81 (2016) 2, pp. 255-278

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011594042

Macroeconomic stress-testing of mortgage default rate using a vector error correction model and entropy pooling

Ardia, David; Guerrouaz, Anas; Rey, Jeanne - In: Assurances et gestion des risques : revue trimestrielle 83 (2016) 3/4, pp. 115-133

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011637834