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We investigate price duration variance estimators that have long been neglected in the literature. We show i) how price duration estimators can be used for the estimation and forecasting of the integrated variance of an underlying semi-martingale price process and ii) how they are affected by a)...
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We examine how information risk and transaction costs influence the initial and subsequent market reaction to earnings news. We find that the initial market reaction is higher per unit of earnings surprise for higher information risk firms (information content effect). Furthermore, it is...
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Most existing text-based sentiment measures in finance are lexicon-based which are effectively based on word counts of positive and negative sentiment dictionaries, and naturally lose most information. We measure news sentiment using BERT, a state-of-the-art large language model, which reads and...
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We propose a price duration based covariance matrix estimator using high frequency transactions data. The effect of the last-tick time-synchronisation methodology, together with effects of important market microstructure components is analysed through a comprehensive Monte Carlo study. To...
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This paper proposes efficient estimation of risk measures by fully exploring the first and second moment information in a GARCH framework. We propose a quantile estimator based on inverting an empirical likelihood weighted distribution estimator. It is found that the new quantile estimator is...
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