We show that expected returns on US stocks and all major global stock market indices have a particular form of non-linear dependence on previous returns. The expected sign of returns tends to reverse after large price movements and trends tend to continue after small movements. The observed...

Using a unique institutional setting of dual exchange rates of Chinese currency, this paper provides novel evidence that firms manipulate trade data to evade capital controls. We develop a model showing that the trade data over-reporting is positively (negatively) correlated with the exchange...

This paper studies the effect of FDI firms' financial advantages on firm productivity in host countries and examines the related policy implications. If FDI firms face lower financing costs but have higher fixed production costs than local firms, a simple Melitz-type model predicts that because...