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In recent years, an impressive body or research on predictive accuracy testing and model comparison has been published in the econometrics discipline. Key contributions to this literature include the paper by Diebold and Mariano (DM: 1995) that sets the groundwork for much of the subsequent work...
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In this article, the authors measure the impact of estimation error on latent factor model forecasts of portfolio risk and factor exposures. In markets simulated with a Gaussian return generating process, the authors measure errors in forecasts for equally weighted and long-only minimum variance...
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This paper proposes novel approaches to the modeling of attenuation bias effects in volatility forecasting. Our strategy relies on suitable generalizations of the Realized GARCH model by Hansen et al. (2012) where the impact of lagged realized measures on the current conditional variance is...
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