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of Johansen (2008, 2009). We propose a 4-step estimation procedure that is based on the switching algorithm employed in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010348412
and the cointegration rank exactly in the same way as in the standard I(1) cointegration framework of Johansen (1995) and … procedure for this model that is based on the switching algorithm employed in Carlini and Mosconi (2014), together with the GLS … and Velasco (for cointegration strength >0.5) and Avarucci and Velasco (for cointegration strength <0.5). Therefore our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011928312
State space models with nonstationary processes and fixed regression effects require a state vector with diffuse initial conditions. Different likelihood functions can be adopted for the estimation of parameters in time series models with diffuse initial conditions. In this paper we consider...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011374403
characteristics of the filter for signal extraction, trend prediction and cointegration estimation for univariate and bivariate series …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014219324
-known residual-based test for cointegration in linear models by Engle and Granger (1987) and obtain its nonlinear analogue. We derive … cointegration, whereas the linear-based tests fail to do so. Further analysis of impulse response functions of error correction …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014076100
the maximum likelihood (ML) estimators of the matrix of the cointegration relations, the degree of fractional … cointegration, the matrix of the speed of adjustment to the equilibrium parameters and the variance-covariance matrix of the error … consistent estimates and provide their asymptotic distributions. The cointegration matrix is asymptotically mixed normal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012723159
applications. As a result, the asymptotic theory of maximum likelihood and quasi-maximum likelihood estimators may be compromised … and misspecified models. The practical relevance of the theory is highlighted in a set of empirical examples. We further …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011556144
In this note I show that the method proposed in Thomakos (2008) for optimal linear filtering, smoothing and trend extraction for a unit root process can be applied with no changes when a drift parameter is added to the process. The method in the aforementioned paper is based on Singular Spectrum...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012724772
We consider statistical inference for multivariate fractionally integrated time series models using a computationally simple conditional likelihood procedure which has recently been shown to be efficient in the univariate case. We show that those results generalize to the present multivariate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014116820
We propose an iterative procedure to efficiently estimate models with complex log-likelihood functions and the number of parameters relative to the observations being potentially high. Given consistent but inefficient estimates of sub-vectors of the parameter vector, the procedure yields...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010235324