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This paper develops a method to improve the estimation of jump variation using high frequency data with the existence of market microstructure noises. Accurate estimation of jump variation is in high demand, as it is an important component of volatility in finance for portfolio allocation,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011568279
characteristics of the filter for signal extraction, trend prediction and cointegration estimation for univariate and bivariate series …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014219324
This paper considers a general model specification test for nonlinear multivariate cointegrating regressions where the regressor consists of a univariate integrated time series and a vector of stationary time series. The regressors and the errors are generated from the same innovations, so that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013006720
This paper revisits the fractional cointegrating relationship between ex-ante implied volatility and ex-post realized volatility. We argue that the concept of corridor implied volatility (CIV) should be used instead of the popular model-free option-implied volatility (MFIV) when assessing the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013090381
This paper discusses nonparametric kernel regression with the regressor being a d-dimensional ß-null recurrent process in presence of conditional heteroscedasticity. We show that the mean function estimator is consistent with convergence rate p n(T)hd, where n(T) is the number of regenerations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011297654
This paper revisits the fractional co-integrating relationship between ex-ante implied volatility and ex-post realized volatility. Previous studies on stock index options have found biases and inefficiencies in implied volatility as a forecast of future volatility. It is argued that the concept...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011280711
This paper considers a nonlinear time series model associated with both nonstationarity and endogeneity. The proposed model is then estimated by a nonparametric series method. An asymptotic theory is established in both point-wise and the space metric sense for the estimator. The Monte Carlo...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013014831
Many macroeconomic and financial variables show highly persistent and correlated patterns but not necessarily cointegrated. Recently, Sun, Hsiao and Li (2010) propose using a semiparametric varying coefficient approach to capture correlations between integrated but non cointegrated variables....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013077119
A new approach to robust testing in cointegrated systems is proposed using nonparametric HAC estimators without truncation. While such HAC estimates are inconsistent, they still produce asymptotically pivotal tests and, as in conventional regression settings, can improve testing and inference....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014061609
We examine a kernel regression smoother for time series that takes account of the error correlation structure as proposed by Xiao et al. (2008). We show that this method continues to improve estimation in the case where the regressor is a unit root or near unit root process.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009734305