Spatial effects and common-shocks effects are of increasing empirical importance. Each type of effects has been analyzed separately in a growing literature. This paper considers a joint modeling of both types of effects. Joint modeling allows one to evaluate which type is present or more...

We propose a novel modification to the popular principal component analysis (PCA) by scaling each predictor with its predictive slope on the target to be forecasted. Unlike the PCA that maximizes the common variation of predictors, our scaled PCA, sPCA, puts more weights on those predictors that...