Correlations between the performance of real economy and the budget position of the central government have been a key area of methodological research for decades. The related concepts focus on the recognition that the same budget may equally result in a surplus or a deficit depending on what...

We study the sustainability of sovereign debt accumulation in 15 OECD countries using quarterly data from 1980 to 2010 with a focus on how and in what countries debt sustainability changed after the commencement of the Euro Convergence Criteria in 1997 as well as after the financial meltdown in...

This paper evaluates the bias of the least-squares-with-dummy-variables (LSDV) method in fiscal reaction function estimations. A growing number of studies estimate fiscal policy reaction functions - that is, relationships between the primary fiscal balance and its determinants, including public...

Abstract in Russian:В настоящем исследовании для определения ненаблюдаемых переменных разработаны полуструктурные макроэкономические модели для каждой страны региона...

The implementation of any State’s economic policy involves first developing short-term, mid-term and long-term forecasts, as well as socio-economic development programs. Their quality is largely dependent on credible assessments of the current economic setting, whose findings will then inform...

In this paper, a structural VAR model is estimated for 11 EU countries in order to assess the effect on the government deficit ratio of four independent economic disturbances: supply, fiscal, real private demand and monetary shocks. Based on the estimated distribution of these shocks, stochastic...

Our goal in this paper is to explore the validity of Wagner's Law in Saudi Arabia during the period (1970-2012) for real oil GDP and Non-oil GDP. Wagner's Law investigated that fundamental economic growth is validity to the public sector growth. In the previous studies have been tested the six...