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In many, if not most, econometric applications, it is impossible to estimate consistently the elements of the white-noise process or processes that underlie the DGP. A common example is a regression model with heteroskedastic and/or autocorrelated disturbances,where the heteroskedasticity and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011774249
In this paper we investigate the properties of the Lagrange Multiplier (LM) test for autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (ARCH) and generalized ARCH (GARCH) in the presence of additive outliers (AO's). We show analytically that both the asymptotic size and power are adversely affected...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014200208
This paper describes how the frequency domain analysis provides an alternative approach to time domain analysis for a given time series. Spectral and periodogram analysis for a given time series are performed to detect trends and seasonalities in the data. A cross-spectral analysis is used to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014205601
Cointegration analysis is applied to investigate the long run relationships between money, prices, and wages in Norway. Broad money is determined endogenously, and monetary balances were exposed to large shocks during the period of financial deregulation in the midst of the 1980s. In the long...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014215622
The problem of optimal decision between unit roots, trend stationarity and trend stationarity with structural breaks is considered. Each of three classes is represented by a hierarchically random process whose parameters are distributed in a non-informative way based on a simple rule. Given a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014219317
In this paper I propose a novel optimal linear filter for smoothing, trend and signal extraction for time series with a unit root. The filter is based on the Singular Spectrum Analysis (SSA) methodology, takes the form of a particular moving average and is different from other linear filters...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014219324
It is well-knownthat financial data sets exhibit conditional heteroskedasticity. GARCH type models are often used to model this phenomenon. Since the distribution of the rescaled innovations is generally far froma normal distribution, a semiparametric approach is advisable. Several publications...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014155199
We establish consistency and asymptotic normality of the quasi-maximum likelihood estimator in the linear ARCH model. Contrary to existing literature we allow the parameters to be in the region where no stationary version of the process exists
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014104835
A time series model is discussed that incorporates both permanent and transient effects. Estimation techniques are given, and the power of the likelihood ratio test is assessed. When applied to the monthly price/earnings series of the S&P 500 over the period 1871-2013, both permanent and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013029325
The estimation and the analysis of long memory parameters have mainly focused on the analysis of long-range dependence in stock return volatility using traditional time and spectral domain estimators of long memory. The definitive ubiquity and existence of long memory in the volatility of stock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012920334