Tests for shift detection in locally-stationary autoregressive time series are constructed which resist contamination by a substantial amount of outliers. Tests based on a comparison of local medians standardized by a highly robust estimate of the variability show reliable performance in a broad...

Robust versions of the exponential and Holt-Winters smoothing method for forecasting are presented. They are suitable for forecasting univariate time series in presence of outliers. The robust exponential and Holt-Winters smoothing methods are presented as a recursive updating scheme. Both the...

The repeated median line estimator is a highly robust method for fitting a regression line to a set of n data points in the plane. In this paper, we consider the problem of updating the estimate after a point is removed from or added to the data set. This problem occurs e.g. in statistical...

Data from the automatic monitoring of intensive care patients exhibits trends, outliers, and level changes as well as periods of relative constancy. All this is overlaid with a high level of noise and there are dependencies between the different items measured. Current monitoring systems tend to...

Methods of dimension reduction are very helpful and almost a necessity if we want to analyze high-dimensional time series since otherwise modelling affords many parameters because of interactions at various time-lags. We use a dynamic version of Sliced Inverse Regression (SIR; Li (1991)), which...

We investigate the possibility of exploiting partial correlation graphs for identifying interpretable latent variables underlying a multivariate time series. It is shown how the collapsibility and separation properties of partial correlation graphs can be used to understand the relation between...