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The technique of using densities and conditional distributions to carry out consistent specification testing and model selection amongst multiple diffusion processes have received considerable attention from both financial theoreticians and empirical econometricians over the last two decades....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009766693
is volatility forecasting for financial risk management?”. Review of Economics and Statistics 82, 12–22], Diebold …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014023701
This chapter summarizes recent literature on asymptotic inference about forecasts. Both analytical and simulation based methods are discussed. The emphasis is on techniques applicable when the number of competing models is small. Techniques applicable when a large number of models is compared to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014023703
We propose Midastar models by combining the Mixed Data Sampling (MIDAS) and the threshold autoregression (TAR). The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014240508
instance of precision-based sampling methods that operate on the inverse variance-covariance matrix of the states (also known … other instances of precision-based sampling, computational gains are considerable. Relevant applications include trend …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014336195
using these models in an out-of-sample forecasting exercise compared with the forecasts obtained based on the usual linear …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010478989
This chapter discusses estimation, specification testing, and model selection of predictive density models. In particular, predictive density estimation is briefly discussed, and a variety of different specification and model evaluation tests due to various authors including Christoffersen and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014052432
This chapter discusses estimation, specification testing, and model selection of predictive density models. In particular, predictive density estimation is briefly discussed, and a variety of different specification and model evaluation tests due to various authors including Christoffersen and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014062171
Granger causality, and in the other we outline a test for selecting amongst multiple alternative forecasting models, all of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014062173
sampling inherent in survey longitudinal data, (3) incorporation of predetermined variables in estimation, and (4 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014024953