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Forecasting-volatility models typically rely on either daily or high frequency (HF) data and the choice between these two categories is not obvious. In particular, the latter allows to treat volatility as observable but they suffer of many limitations. HF data feature microstructure problem,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011730304
assumptions of jumps in prices and leverage effects for volatility. Findings suggest that daily-data models are preferred to HF …-data models at 5% and 1% VaR level. Specifically, independently from the data frequency, allowing for jumps in price (or providing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011674479
We introduce and investigate some properties of a class of nonlinear time series models based on the moving sample quantiles in the autoregressive data generating process. We derive a test fit to detect this type of nonlinearity. Using the daily realized volatility data of Standard & Poor's 500...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010478989
This paper develops a method to improve the estimation of jump variation using high frequency data with the existence of market microstructure noises. Accurate estimation of jump variation is in high demand, as it is an important component of volatility in finance for portfolio allocation,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011568279
volatility ; multipower variation ; tripower variation ; truncated power variation ; quarticity ; infinite activity jumps … variables. We then provide empirical evidence on "small" and "large" jumps from the perspective of their contribution to overall …, Bollerslev and Diebold (2007) and Ai͏̈t-Sahalia and Jacod (2009a,b,c). Evidence of jumps is found in around 22.8% of the days …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009130524
variation ; truncated power variation ; quarticity ; infinite activity jumps … (2009a,b,c) to examine the importance of jumps, and in particular "large" and "small" jumps, using high frequency price … returns on 25 stocks in the DOW 30 and S&P futures index. In particular, we examine jumps from both the perspective of their …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009151972
. Thereafter, we discuss testing for jumps using said estimators. Finally, we discuss recent advances in testing for co-jumps. Such … co-jumps are important for a number of reasons. For example, the presence of co-jumps, in contexts where data has been … presence of co-jumps across sectors, say, suggests that if jumps can be predicted in one sector, then such predictions may have …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012913503
I provide conditions under which the trimmed FDQML estimator, advanced by McCloskey (2010) in the context of fully parametric short-memory models, can be used to estimate the long-memory stochastic volatility model parameters in the presence of additive low-frequency contamination in log-squared...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013098304
We introduce a dynamic statistical model for Skellam distributed random variables. The Skellam distribution can be obtained by taking differences between two Poisson distributed random variables. We treat cases where observations are measured over time and where possible serial correlation is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010253460
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010191086