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wealth. Domestic price inflation is affected by imported inflation including currency depreciation (a pass through effect …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014215622
The paper provides estimates of an error-correction model of the demand for narrow money (M1) and broad money (M2) in Mozambique. In addition, it assesses whether the rapid growth in money balances during 1996-97 represents a structural break or can be associated with the rapidly expanding...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012782115
If an economic relationship is superimposed by a linear time trend, the regression without detrending is misspecified. The estimators of such a regression do not converge to the true parameter values. First, the asymptotic limit arising from such misspecified regressions is characterized....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014200423
We derive a theoretical model for the demand for money using the adjustment cost augmented money-in-the-utility-function approach. The steady-state - utility function - parameters of the model of narrow money (M1) estimated with cointegration techniques are stable over the foreign exchange rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014215618
This paper reconsiders the long-run demand for M2 based on a newly constructed dataset featuring 32 countries since the first half of the 19th century. The evidence from cointegration tests suggests that a long-run equilibrium relationship for M2 demand is hardly present. Specifically, only...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011961332
Among the many troublesome econometric relationships, the demand for money has proved especially recalcitrant, as evidenced by a long history of tinkering with basic specifications, always in response to some recent perceived forecast failure. The shortcomings of this approach and an alternative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013403846
Long times series on production of gold and the value of gold, taken from Jastram's book 'The Golden Constant', are used to estimate a Cagan-type demand function that relates the real total value of gold to its expected rate of return. The model assumes that gold production and a latent scale...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014056666
model for M3, GNP, an inflation rate and an interest rate spread variable to represent opportunity costs of holding money …. Furthermore, import price inflation is added as an exogenous variable. The model is used to analyze the relation between money … growth and inflation by means of an impulse response analysis …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014215614
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014253415
regime driven by the exchange rate and a third one with inflation targeting. The result is a CVAR with constant long … framework, inflation dynamics in Mexico since the country abandoned the gold standard. The model encompasses known results … parsimonious, it does not require inflation lags nor dummy variables. It also displays a very good pseudo out-of-sample forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011759587