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This paper first develops a new approach, which is based on the Nelson-Siegel term structure factor-augmented model, to compute the VaR of bond portfolios. We then applied the model to examine whether information contained on macroeconomic variables and financial shocks can help to explain the...
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We develop a simulation-based procedure to test for stock return predictability with multiple regressors. The process … simulation study and by examining the ability of a group of financial variables to predict excess stock returns. We find robust …
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