Showing 1 - 10 of 1,750
Forecasting-volatility models typically rely on either daily or high frequency (HF) data and the choice between these … forecasting-volatility models, comparing their performance (in terms of Value at Risk, VaR) under the assumptions of jumping …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011730304
Forecasting volatility models typically rely on either daily or high frequency (HF) data and the choice between these … these two family forecasting-volatility models, comparing their performance (in terms of Value at Risk, VaR) under the … assumptions of jumps in prices and leverage effects for volatility. Findings suggest that daily-data models are preferred to HF …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011674479
using these models in an out-of-sample forecasting exercise compared with the forecasts obtained based on the usual linear …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010478989
Numerous tests designed to detect realized jumps over a fixed time span have been proposed and extensively studied in … the financial econometrics literature. These tests differ from “long time span tests” that detect jumps by examining the … these findings, and “time-span robust” tests indicate that the prevalence of jumps is not as universal as might be expected. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012025640
This paper develops a method to improve the estimation of jump variation using high frequency data with the existence of market microstructure noises. Accurate estimation of jump variation is in high demand, as it is an important component of volatility in finance for portfolio allocation,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011568279
We propose a novel dynamic approach to forecast the weights of the global minimum variance portfolio (GMVP). The GMVP weights are the population coefficients of a linear regression of a benchmark return on a vector of return differences. This representation enables us to derive a consistent loss...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012243462
This paper proposes a new combined semiparametric estimator of the conditional variance that takes the product of a parametric estimator and a nonparametric estimator based on machine learning. A popular kernel-based machine learning algorithm, known as the kernel-regularized least squares...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012814196
dependent and independent variables are co-integrated. In this paper, we investigate forecasting performance between first …-of-sample forecasting under the CCAR framework. A simple application for models constructed for banks’ Comprehensive Capital Analysis and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011724257
that forecasts improve significantly if jumps in the log-price process are considered separately from continuous components …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011430242
This paper proposes an ex post volatility estimator, called mixed interval realized variance (MIRV), that uses high-frequency data to provide measurements robust to the idiosyncratic noise of stock markets caused by market microstructures. The theoretical properties of the new volatility...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012971871