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This paper examines the significance of different fundamental regimes by applying various monetary models of the exchange rate to one of the politically most important exchange rates, the exchange rate of the US dollar vis-à-vis the euro (the DM). We use monthly data from 1975:01 to 2007:12....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010207061
these variables. This means that the conventional cointegration tests may not be robust. Using a more appropriate periodic … cointegration test, our results nevertheless fail to support the present value model, thus reinforcing the case against the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014043638
In this paper, we focus on the building of an invariant distribution function associated to a non-stationary sample. After discussing some specific problems encountered by non-stationarity inside samples like the 'spurious' long memory effect, we build a sequence of stationary processes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013159292
-robust estimates and Johansen cointegration test. The main finding of this article is that the relationship between market and model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010358358
While a great number of predictive variables for stock returns have been suggested, their prediction power is unstable. We propose a Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) estimator of a predictive regression in which stock returns are conditioned on a large set of lagged...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012902789
cointegration tests and vector error correction model analyses. The results have revealed that significant macroeconomic variables …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012012458
capital integration with cointegration techniques. This approach minimizes the risk of accepting the null of no cointegration … provide partial support in favor of cointegration, and therefore for capital markets integration, among stock market indices … when proper attention is given to issues like the identification and temporal stability of the cointegration vectors as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012171036
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010519640
Traditional specifications of export equations incorporate foreign demand as a demand pull factor and the real exchange rate as a relative price variable. However, such standard export equations have failed to explain the export performance of euro area countries during the crisis period. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010255111
Traditional specifications of export equations incorporate foreign demand as a demand pull factor and the real exchange rate as a relative price variable. However, such standard export equations have failed to explain the export performance of euro area countries during the crisis period. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010195462