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to overestimate the number of jumps in yield spreads and puts the coherence of test results at risk. We formalize the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014343097
jumps over a grid of thresholds and selects the optimal threshold at what we term the “take-off” point in the estimated … number of jumps. We show that this method consistently estimates the jumps and their indices as the sampling interval goes to … jumps and its ability to distinguish between true jumps and large diffusive moves. In one of these Monte Carlo studies we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011524214
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011920538
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011738476
jumps over a grid of thresholds and selects the optimal threshold at what we term the ‘take-off’ point in the estimated … number of jumps. We show that this method consistently estimates the jumps and their indices as the sampling interval goes to … jumps and its ability to distinguish between true jumps and large diffusive moves. In one of these Monte Carlo studies we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011823308
Forecasting-volatility models typically rely on either daily or high frequency (HF) data and the choice between these two categories is not obvious. In particular, the latter allows to treat volatility as observable but they suffer of many limitations. HF data feature microstructure problem,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011730304
assumptions of jumps in prices and leverage effects for volatility. Findings suggest that daily-data models are preferred to HF …-data models at 5% and 1% VaR level. Specifically, independently from the data frequency, allowing for jumps in price (or providing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011674479
This paper introduces the Markov-Switching Multifractal Duration (MSMD) model by adapting the MSM stochastic volatility model of Calvet and Fisher (2004) to the duration setting. Although the MSMD process is exponential ß-mixing as we show in the paper, it is capable of generating highly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010499581
We develop a penalized two-pass regression with time-varying factor loadings. The penalization in the first pass enforces sparsity for the time-variation drivers while also maintaining compatibility with the no arbitrage restrictions by regularizing appropriate groups of coefficients. The second...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012487589
Volatility is not directly observable and must be estimated. Estimator based on daily close data is imprecise. Range-based volatility estimators provide significantly more precision, but still remain noisy volatility estimates, something that is sometimes forgotten when these estimators are used...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013011883