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-varying volatility of the data generating process can have rather adverse effects when inferring about its persistence; e.g. unit root …
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-order) spatial autoregressive models. Moreover, an estimation procedure based on the maximum-likelihood principle is introduced and …
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Although the main interest in the modelling of electricity prices is often on volatility aspects, we argue that stochastic heteroskedastic behaviour in prices can only be modelled correctly when the conditional mean of the time series is properly modelled. In this paper we consider different...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011334362
The research used a long memory or Autoregressive Fractionally Integrated Moving Average model to study and forecast crude oil prices using weekly West Texas Intermediate and Brent series for the period 15/5/1987 to 20/12/2013. Fractional differencing Methods such as Local Whittle Estimator and...
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time-varying thresholds and simple estimation via least squares. We show via Monte Carlo simulations that the MAT-HAR has …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012848474
forecasting technique with respect to various volatility estimators. The methodology of volatility estimation included Close …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012870348
forecasting technique with respect to various volatility estimators. The methodology of volatility estimation includes Close …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012860158
Recent releases of X-13ARIMA-SEATS and JDemetra+ enable their users to choose between the non-parametric X-11 and the parametric ARIMA model-based approach to seasonal adjustment for any given time series without the necessity of switching between different software packages. To ease the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011452778
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