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-varying volatility of the data generating process can have rather adverse effects when inferring about its persistence; e.g. unit root … conditional heteroskedasticity). The paper explores the influence of time-varying volatility on fractionally integrated processes …. Concretely, we discuss how to model long memory in the presence of time-varying volatility, and analyze the effects of such …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010375374
standard information criteria, volatility persistence and the log likelihood statistic, showed that results improved with … of volatility breaks reduces the level of persistence in most of the models. The study recommends the incorporation of …This paper examines exchange-rate volatility with GARCH models using monthly exchange-rate return series from 1985:1 to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011476095
We show that small trends do not influence log-periodogram based estimators for the memory parameter in a stationary … invertible long-memory process. In the case of slowly decaying trends which are easily confused with long-range dependence we … show by Monte Carlo methods that the tapered periodogram is quite robust against these trends and thus provides a good …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009776759
On purpose to extract trend and cycle from a time series many competing techniques have been developed. The probably most prevalent is the Hodrick Prescott filter. However this filter suffers from diverse shortcomings, especially the subjective choice of its penalization parameter. To this point...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010350102
We provide a method for distinguishing long-range dependence from deterministic trends such as structural breaks. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010509839
We consider changes in the degree of persistence of a process when the degree of persistence is characterized as the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011756088
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012155069
We consider a class of infinite‐horizon dynamic Markov economic models in which the parameters of utility function, production function, and transition equations change over time. In such models, the optimal value and decision functions are time‐inhomogeneous: they depend not only on state...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012316588
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011718779
-a-vis four other currencies. The impact of exogenous variables in modelling volatility is considered using both the GARCH (1 … indicate that the majority of the parameters are significant and that volatility is quite persistent. Furthermore, the results …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011661515