I develop a new method for approximating and estimating nonlinear, non-Gaussian state space models. I show that any such model can be well approximated by a discrete-state Markov process and estimated using techniques developed in Hamilton (1989). Through Monte Carlo simulations, I demonstrate...

Credit value adjustment (CVA) and related charges have emerged as important risk factors following the Global Financial Crisis. These charges depend on uncertain future values of underlying products, and are usually computed by Monte Carlo simulation. For products that cannot be valued...

Credit Value Adjustment sensitivities represent the quantitative basis for the full spectrum of steering activities of CVA desks: hedging, control, explanation and forecasting. In realistic applications, typically involving large numbers of market risk-factors, calculation of CVA Greeks poses...

We explore a multi-asset jump-diffusion pricing model, combining a systemic risk asset with several conditionally independent ordinary assets. Our approach allows for analyzing and modeling a portfolio that integrates high-activity security, such as an exchange trading fund (ETF) tracking a...

This paper proposes a simple and crude way of approximating the XVA sensitivities. In short, the idea is simply to recycle the existing base simulated portfolio values for the bumped ones. This is done by re-simulating the risk factors for the bumped market and finding out which other base state...

We compare three alternative Maximum Likelihood Multidimensional Scaling methods for pairwise dissimilarity ratings, namely MULTISCALE, MAXSCAL, and gurations very well. The recovery of the true dimensionality depends on the test criterion (likelihood ratio test, AIC, or CAIC), as well as on the...

In the economics of joint production one often distinguishes between the two cases: the one in which a firm produces multiple products each produced under separate production process, and the other "true joint production" where a number of outputs are produced from a single production process,...

Some signal waveforms are very fast dampening oscillatory time series composed of exponential functions. The regular least squares fitting techniques are often unstable when used to fit exponential functions to such signal waveforms since such functions are highly correlated. Of late, some...

No fool-proof method exists to fit nonlinear curves to data or estimate the parameters of an intrinsically nonlinear function. Some methods succeed at solving a set of problems but fail at the others. The Differential Evolution (DE) method of global optimization is an upcoming method that has...

This paper studies the computational complexity of Bayesian and quasi-Bayesian estimation in large samples carried out using a basic Metropolis random walk. The framework covers cases where the underlying likelihood or extremum criterion function is possibly non-concave, discontinuous, and of...