We provide a simple and easy to use goodness-of-fit test for the misspecification of the volatility function in diffusion models. The test uses power variations constructed as functionals of discretely observed diffusion processes. We introduce an orthogonality condition which stabilizes the...

We develop and analyze a class of unbiased Monte Carlo estimators for multivariate jump-diffusion processes with state-dependent drift, volatility, jump intensity and jump size. A change of measure argument is used to extend existing unbiased estimators for the inter-arrival diffusion to include...

The Stein paradox has played an influential role in the field of high dimensional statistics. This result warns that the sample mean, classically regarded as the “usual estimator”, may be suboptimal in high dimensions. The development of the James-Stein estimator, that addresses this...

We use supervised learning to identify factors that predict the cross-section of returns and maximum drawdown for stocks in the US equity market. Our data run from January 1970 to December 2019 and our analysis includes ordinary least squares, penalized linear regressions, tree-based models, and...

In this article, the authors measure the impact of estimation error on latent factor model forecasts of portfolio risk and factor exposures. In markets simulated with a Gaussian return generating process, the authors measure errors in forecasts for equally weighted and long-only minimum variance...