In high-dimensional vector autoregressive (VAR) models, it is natural to have large number of predictors relative to the number of observations, and a lack of efficiency in estimation and forecasting. In this context, model selection is a difficult issue and standard procedures may often be...

The estimation of dynamic causal effects is one of the crucial challenges of econometrics. In the macroeconomic literature, dynamic causal effects are conceived as the effect, over time, of an intervention that propagates through the economy. This is usually modeled via impulse response analysis...

This paper advances the application of Bayesian graphical structural vector autoregressive (BGSVAR) models to address the problem of impulse response estimation in VAR-based systems. The BGSVAR is designed as a robust empirical framework for impulse response estimation using information from the...

This paper considers a sparsity approach for inference in large vector autoregressive (VAR) models. The approach is based on a Bayesian procedure and a graphical representation of VAR models. We discuss a Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm for sparse graph selection, parameter estimation, and...

The estimation of dynamic causal effects is one of the crucial challenges of econometrics. In the macroeconomic literature, dynamic causal effects are conceived as the effect, over time, of an intervention that propagates through the economy. This is usually modeled via impulse response analysis...