This paper examines the use of combined forecasting methods in tourism forecasting. The use of multiple methods allows more information to be incorporated into the forecasts. The objective of the paper is to show that forecasts of tourism arrivals obtained by combining forecasting models are...

Multiple regression is frequently used across the various social sciences to analyze cross-sectional data. However, it can often times be challenging to justify the assumption of common regression coefficients across all respondents. This manuscript presents a heterogeneous Bayesian regression...

Ambiguity surrounds any importance measure in cases in which predictor variables are correlated. However, a new measure is proposed that has attractive properties, such as providing individual contributions that are both non-negative and sum to R2. The new measure is compared with four other...

We present a Bayesian change point multiple regression methodology which simultaneously estimates the location of change points/regimes, the corresponding subset of independent variables per regime, as well as the associated regimes' regression parameters. Unlike existing switching multiple...

We review mixture models that relate a dependent variable to a set of exogenous or explanatory variables. Also, we describe a generalized linear regression mixture model that encompasses previously developed models as special cases. The model allows for a probabilistic classification of...

We present an hierarchical Bayes approach to modeling parameter heterogeneity in generalized linear models. The model assumes that there are relevant subpopulations and that within each subpopulation the individual-level regression coefficients have a multivariate normal distribution. However,...