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Lütkepohl, Helmut - 2006

Vector autoregressive moving-average (VARMA) processes are suitable models for producing linear forecasts of sets of time series variables. They provide parsimonious representations of linear data generation processes. The setup for these processes in the presence of stationary and cointegrated...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014023700

Engle & Granger cointegration test for gdp and public consumption in the Republic of North Macedonia

Ivanovski, Zoran; Ivanovska, Nadica; Korunovska, Vesna - In: UTMS journal of economics / University of Tourism and … 13 (2022) 2, pp. 214-220

In this paper, we test cointegration between GDP and Public consumption of the Republic of North Macedonia, for … quarterly data of twenty years' time series (2000Q1-2019Q4). We present results of two methods for cointegration test: first …, residual regression test table and second, Engle & Granger cointegration test and Philips Ouliaris test. Both methods provides …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013489691

State-space cointegration modeling for the analysis of exogenous shocks to prices in Israeli-Palestinian food trade

Ihle, Rico; Götz, Linde Johanna; Rubin, Ofir D. - 2011

employing the Kalman filter. The time-varying cointegration parameters suggest that the security measures indeed impacted price …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010356541

Codependent VAR models and the pseudo-structural form

Trenkler, Carsten; Weber, Enzo - 2012

This paper investigates whether codependence restrictions can be uniquely imposed on VAR and VEC models via the so-called pseudo-structural form used in the literature. Codependence of order q is given if a linear combination of autocorrelated variables eliminates the serial correlation after q...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011489949

Testing for common cyclical features in var models with cointegration

Hecq, Alain W. J.; Palm, Franz C.; Urbain, Jean-Pierre - 2001

We consider VAR models for variables exhibiting cointegration and common cyclical features. While the presence of … cointegration reduces the rank of the long-run multiplier matrix, other types of common features lead to rank reduction of the short …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011398127

Separation, weak exogeneity and P-T decomposition in cointegrated VAR systems with common features

Hecq, Alain W. J.; Palm, Franz C.; Urbain, Jean-Pierre - 2002

investigate the relationships between separation in cointegration and separation in serial correlation common features. Loosely …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011409009

Formula I(1) and I(2) : race tracks for likelihood maximization algorithms of I(1) and I(2) cointegrated VAR models

Doornik, Jurgen A.; Mosconi, Rocco; Paruolo, Paolo - In: Econometrics : open access journal 5 (2017) 4, pp. 1-30

This paper provides some test cases, called circuits, for the evaluation of Gaussian likelihood maximization algorithms of the cointegrated vector autoregressive model. Both I(1) and I(2) models are considered. The performance of algorithms is compared first in terms of effectiveness, defined as...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011781891

Likelihood ratio tests of restrictions on common trends loading matrices in I(2) VAR Systems

Boswijk, Herman Peter; Paruolo, Paolo - In: Econometrics : open access journal 5 (2017) 3, pp. 1-17

cointegration parameters. Algorithms for (constrained) maximum likelihood estimation are presented, and asymptotic properties …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011710948

Testing the CVAR in the fractional CVAR model

Johansen, Søren; Nielsen, Morten Ørregaard - 2017

We consider the fractional cointegrated vector autoregressive (CVAR) model of Johansen and Nielsen (2012a) and show that the test statistic for the ususal CVAR model is asymptotically chi-squared distributed. Because the usual CVAR model lies on the boundary of the parameter space for the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011756080

A conversation with Søren Johansen

Johansen, Søren (interviewee); Mosconi, Rocco (interviewer) - In: Econometrics : open access journal 10 (2022) 2, pp. 1-16

fractional cointegration types; survival analysis; statistical modelling; likelihood; econometric methodology; the teaching and …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013355167